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Disinformation

Drone Strikes Didn’t Take Out a Russian Bot Farm, But We Were Primed to Believe It  – Mother Jones

News RoomBy News RoomOctober 15, 20269 Mins Read
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1. On a clear autumn morning in Warsaw, Volodymyr Zelenskyy stood before an audience of security officials and policymakers with a claim that felt almost too perfect to question. The Ukrainian president had spent months pleading for more military support, but on this day he offered something different: a story of victory in the invisible war. He described Ukraine’s strikes on Yandex, the Russian technology giant, and how those strikes had reached its data centers. The physical damage was real, but Zelenskyy suggested something even more profound had happened. “When our strikes reached Yandex’s data centers,” he said, “it suddenly became a little easier to breathe on many social media platforms.” The words hung in the room. He told the audience there was less hate, less division, fewer provocations because there were fewer bots. And it was clear, he added, where those bots were coming from. The image was cinematic: Ukrainian bombs falling on Russian servers, and in that same moment, a tangled web of deception and manipulation collapsing across the internet. For anyone exhausted by years of toxic online arguments, foreign interference, and endless anonymous abuse, this was not just a military update. It was a moral release. It suggested that the war in Ukraine was also a war for the soul of democratic discourse, and that Ukraine was winning. The audience could almost feel the collective sigh of relief. But as with any story that feels too good to be true, the truth was more complicated, and more uncomfortable. The claim traveled across borders at lightning speed, but it was built on a foundation of misunderstanding, wishful thinking, and a fundamental confusion about what the word “bot” actually means.

2. The story did not stay in Warsaw for long. It exploded across the internet, mutating and gaining precision with every share. Within days, it was no longer just a vague claim about Russian bots disappearing. It became a specific, almost magical story: after Ukraine’s strikes, all kinds of internet users had suddenly gone quiet. Accounts supporting the MAGA movement in America, supporters of Reform UK in Britain, and backers of the German far-right AfD party were all reported missing. A Polish political scientist published a claim that bot activity supporting AfD had dropped by 56 percent. The post was viewed millions of times before it was deleted, but the impression it left behind was powerful. A Czech politician shared a similar story, writing that there had been so much talk about German patriotism, and then the connection from Russia went down. The implication was enormous: much of the political noise churning through social media in Western countries was not organic, not authentic, not really human. It was manufactured in Russian server farms, managed by Russian operatives, and Ukraine had just unplugged it all. This was the ultimate feel-good narrative in an era when people feel powerless against online disinformation. After years of warnings about troll farms, fake profiles, and foreign election interference, here was a concrete, cinematic moment of justice. The good guys had landed a blow not just on the enemy’s military, but on its entire machinery of deception. Who wouldn’t want to believe that? The story was passed along by politicians, journalists, and ordinary users, all eager for evidence that the fight against disinformation could actually be won. But there was one serious problem. The story simply wasn’t true.

3. The first reason was technical, but it exposed a deeper confusion. The “bots” that had been taken offline by the Yandex strike were not the armies of Russian trolls that people imagined. They were web crawlers, also known as search engine spiders, which are automated programs that continuously browse the internet in order to index web pages. When a search engine like Yandex sends out these crawlers to scan websites, it does so from its own servers. If those servers are bombed, the crawlers stop running. Cloudflare, an infrastructure company that tracks global web traffic, released a chart showing a dramatic drop in traffic from Yandex’s servers. It looked, at first glance, like proof that Zelenskyy’s claim was correct. But the chart was showing something far less sinister: Yandex’s web crawlers and search index requests had been disrupted by the bombing campaign. A web crawler is not a political troll. It does not post angry comments about elections, it does not argue with strangers, and it does not shape public opinion. It simply reads pages and files data. Renee DiResta, a social media researcher and disinformation expert at Georgetown University, explained that the word “bot” means different things in different contexts, and that this ambiguity was causing public confusion. The term is used as shorthand for both web crawlers and human trolls, but they are completely different creatures. A web crawler plummeting after a data center strike makes perfect sense. Online trolls, on the other hand, usually have more resilient infrastructure. They are not dependent on a single data center, and they are not removed from the internet by one military operation. The confusion came from collapsing two very different meanings into one tiny word. And that word was being used to justify a compelling political story.

4. The second problem was that the ultra-specific claims about certain political communities going silent had absolutely no basis in fact. Researchers who track Russian disinformation for a living saw nothing that matched the viral narrative. Antibot4Navalny, a group of anonymous researchers who have spent years monitoring Kremlin-aligned troll activity, said they saw no dramatic drop in traffic from human trolls-for-hire targeting Russian domestic users. Vatnik Soup, another watchdog group that monitors Russian government-backed disinformation, issued a direct and somewhat apologetic statement: they were sorry to burst everyone’s bubble, but as of now there was no solid evidence that Russian bot farms had become inactive because of the Yandex strikes. The strikes might have had some effect, but no one had demonstrated it with solid data. Many users had reported seeing fewer pro-Kremlin posts in the days after the strikes, and some automated pro-Russian and pro-MAGA accounts had reportedly gone silent, but that could simply be a coincidence. A Swedish social media consultancy, Common Consultancy, actually ran the numbers. They took 76 AfD politicians and 136 MAGA accounts on Facebook and compared each post with that account’s usual pattern, looking at post age, weekday, and time of day. The results were ordinary day-to-day noise. AfD activity ranged from minus eight percent to plus five percent. MAGA activity ranged from plus four to plus ten percent. There was no collapse. There was no sudden silence. There was no evidence that Ukrainian bombs had silenced the political armies of right-wing populism. Even more troubling, Antibot4Navalny pointed out that a known network of Russian disinformation accounts called Matroyshka was still active after the strikes. This was the same network that had recently posted fake videos bearing Mother Jones’ name and featuring fabricated quotes from the magazine’s DC editor. The machinery of disinformation was still running. It had not been unplugged.

5. So why did so many people, including intelligent and skeptical individuals, share this story so quickly and so enthusiastically? The answer tells us something important about our own fears, desires, and the strange psychological environment of the modern internet. We live in a time when people are rightly suspicious of artificial participation online. We know that bots exist, that foreign actors try to manipulate public opinion, and that social media is not a neutral space. But we also have no reliable way to measure how much of what we see is real, who is behind a given account, or whether a sudden trend is organic or manufactured. In that uncertainty, people tend to fill the gap with assumptions. A 2023 study from media scholars at Indiana University found that participants tended to overestimate the prevalence of bots and to see others as more vulnerable to bot influence than themselves. In other words, people are quick to call an annoying opponent a bot, and slow to admit that they themselves might be fooled by one. Researchers noted that there is no consensus on what a “social bot” even is. People use the term to refer to a wide variety of entities, from fake profiles and spammers to fully automated accounts. This ambiguity provides social media users with a scapegoat for unpleasant online experiences. You can reject accounts with opposing political views simply by labeling them as bots. That makes the internet feel more understandable, and it makes your own position feel more righteous. It turns messy, frustrating disagreements into a simple battle between authentic humans and deceitful machines. But it also prevents real understanding. If you convince yourself that your opponents are not real people, you never have to engage with their arguments. You never have to consider the possibility that they believe what they say. You never have to do the hard work of listening, persuading, or finding common ground.

6. In the end, there is something deeply satisfying about the story of Ukrainian strikes silencing Russian bots. It offers a narrative of victory against a shadowy enemy, a rare moment of clarity in an information war defined by ambiguity and deception. DiResta captured this beautifully when she said that the “Russian bot takedown” story is satisfying because people are tired of suspected manipulation. The idea that a Ukrainian strike silenced fake accounts is a compelling story of victory against a common enemy. It also supports the comforting belief that your political enemies aren’t even real. That belief is warm, but it is also dangerous. If we tell ourselves that the people arguing with us online are puppets controlled by foreign powers, we stop treating them as fellow citizens. We stop trying to persuade them. We stop trying to understand why they think the way they do. We stop engaging with reality. And in doing so, we undermine the very thing we claim to protect: a democratic space where different ideas can clash openly and honestly. The truth about the Yandex strikes is far more mundane. Wars produce physical damage, and disinformation persists. The bots, real and metaphorical, are still out there. The online environment remains messy, manipulative, and often hostile. But the human tendency to embrace a good story over solid evidence is the oldest bot of all. It is always active. It feeds on fear, fatigue, and the desire for easy answers. And it is up to us to resist it, not with wishful thinking, but with careful attention to what is actually true. The next time a viral claim feels too good to question, that is exactly when we should question it hardest. Because the fight against disinformation is not won by believing the story we want. It is won by demanding the evidence we need.

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