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Misinformation is shaping world, from climate change to wars: Cambridge University Professor Sander van der Linden

News RoomBy News RoomJuly 9, 20264 Mins Read
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Sander van der Linden, a professor of social psychology at Cambridge, offers a sobering look at our current “post-truth” reality. He argues that while the human tendency to be misled is ancient, the digital era has supercharged this vulnerability. We are biologically wired with a “truth bias”—a cognitive shortcut that assumes information is accurate because, otherwise, we would be paralyzed by the need to verify every minor detail of our daily lives. Today, however, we inhabit a landscape where the base rate of deception has skyrocketed, causing these innate, once-useful heuristics to backfire. We have become victims of our own psychology, particularly the “illusory truth effect,” where the constant repetition of a lie makes our brains mistake cognitive fluency for factual accuracy.

The problem is compounded by the fact that information consumption has become a competitive social sport. Misinformation often spreads not because people are unintelligent, but because it fulfills a strategic function. Sharing a polarizing headline can gain a person social capital within their own group, effectively weaponizing tribal identity. When accuracy takes a backseat to signaling loyalty, lies become tools for bonding. Dr. van der Linden identifies a “marketplace of manipulation” where suppliers—from professional troll farms to sophisticated marketing agencies—use specific tactics like polarization, emotional baiting, and the manufacturing of doubt to exploit these human fractures for profit, political gain, or ideological dominance.

The historical playbook for these manipulators was perfected by the tobacco and fossil fuel industries, both of which realized that you don’t need to prove a lie; you only need to cast enough doubt on the truth to stall collective action. By funding campaigns that frame scientific facts as mere “debate,” they have successfully delayed progress for decades. This has evolved today into an industrial-scale service. “Disinformation for hire” firms now use micro-targeting, digital footprints, and bot armies—often accessible for a surprisingly low fee—to manipulate public opinion. The democratization of AI has further lowered the barrier to entry, turning what was once a state-sponsored or corporate-funded endeavor into a threat that anyone with a laptop can now perpetuate.

Climate change skepticism, a major focal point for these industries, highlights how deep these manipulations cut into individual identity. It isn’t just about the science; it is about the implications for one’s lifestyle and social belonging. By shifting the burden of responsibility onto individuals—praising, for example, the efficacy of plastic recycling while distracting from the systemic impact of industrial carbon emissions—these campaigns keep the public focused on minor, feel-good actions. People reject the more uncomfortable realities of climate change because they threaten the political or personal identity they have built for themselves. The misinformation succeeds because it aligns with a pre-existing psychological comfort zone.

The speed of this digital onslaught has caught our cognitive architecture completely off guard. We have evolved to process information through face-to-face social cues that simply do not exist in the digital realm. Because these technologies, from social media to generative AI, have infiltrated our lives in a matter of a few years rather than generations, our brains have had no time to adapt or evolve new defensive mechanisms. We are living in a high-tech environment with stone-age cognitive processing. Attempting to survive in this landscape without digital literacy is like walking into a modern war zone with our eyes closed, yet our societal tools for navigating this change remain dangerously outdated.

Ultimately, Dr. van der Linden calls for an urgent overhaul of our educational infrastructure to address this “skills gap.” While schools continue to prioritize classical critical thinking, students are left entirely unprepared to distinguish between real human interaction and AI-generated deepfakes. He advocates for teaching modern information literacy to children as early as age four, treating the ability to navigate the digital world as a fundamental, non-negotiable survival skill. Without a systemic shift to bridge the gulf between our analog brains and our hyper-accelerated digital reality, we remain sitting ducks in a world where truth is frequently engineered for our own manipulation.

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