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Disinformation

Middle East war fuels disinformation about Taiwan’s gas supply

News RoomBy News RoomMarch 26, 20265 Mins Read
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Taiwan, a vibrant self-ruled island, finds itself at the center of a different kind of storm – an online tempest of fake news. Imagine a quiet afternoon, scrolling through your social media, and suddenly, alarming posts start popping up: “Taiwan will run out of gas in 11 days!” “Blackouts are coming!” “It’s all because of the Middle East conflict!” These aren’t just random rumors; they’re meticulously crafted narratives, often pushing the idea that Iran’s actions are choking off Taiwan’s energy lifeline. Thousands of people have seen these posts, mostly on Chinese-language platforms, and they’re designed to do one thing: create panic and chip away at people’s trust in their government. It’s like a whisper campaign that escalates into a shout, making people question their daily lives and the stability of their home.

The sheer volume of these posts is staggering. AFP fact-checkers uncovered dozens of videos on platforms like Douyin, all churning out the same unsettling storyline. Many use identical scripts, making it clear this isn’t just organic chatter but a coordinated effort. Some of these videos even throw in criticisms of Taiwan’s decision to close its nuclear energy plants in 2025, cleverly tying current anxieties to past policy choices. And here’s where it gets even more concerning: some posts slyly suggest that the only way for Taiwan to guarantee its energy future is to embrace “peaceful reunification” with mainland China. It’s a calculated move, using a very real concern – access to energy – to promote a political agenda. It’s like someone offering you a life raft in a small puddle, implying that your current boat is sinking, even when it’s perfectly afloat.

Taiwanese officials, however, are not sitting idly by. They’ve been quick to reassure their citizens that these rumors are baseless. Minister of Economic Affairs Kung Ming-hsin, in a Facebook video, directly addressed the claims, stating unequivocally, “They claimed that we would run out of gas – that is simply impossible.” He explained that while Qatar is a significant supplier, providing about a third of Taiwan’s liquefied natural gas (LNG), the vast majority of their supply comes from other sources, making them far more resilient than the online fictions suggest. It’s about calmly presenting the facts in the face of fear-mongering, like a steady hand guiding a worried child.

Beyond the immediate gas supply concerns, security officials revealed a deeper, more insidious aspect of this campaign. They’ve identified artificial intelligence-generated content on platforms like YouTube and TikTok, consistently painting a bleak picture of Taiwan’s future. These AI-powered narratives pose questions like, “What if Taiwan is encircled?” and conjure up scenarios designed to make people feel anxious and to doubt their government’s ability to handle a crisis, especially a potential blockade. It’s a sophisticated psychological game, designed to plant seeds of doubt and fear, to erode national confidence, and to make people question their leaders’ competence in an increasingly uncertain world. It preys on basic human fears about security and stability, using technology to amplify those anxieties.

This isn’t an isolated incident; Taiwan is just the latest victim of a broader campaign of energy-related disinformation. Earlier in March, Iran’s Tasnim news agency, for instance, published a doctored graphic falsely claiming Australia had mere days of petrol left, a claim easily debunked by fact-checkers. These kinds of tactics are particularly effective in Taiwan, given China’s increasing military presence and the constant shadow of a potential blockade. The anxiety about energy security is very real, and these disinformation campaigns exploit those genuine fears. For example, LNG made up almost half of Taiwan’s power generation in 2025, which naturally makes people sensitive to any threats to its supply.

Experts like Professor Yeh Tsung-kuang from National Tsing Hua University clarify that while Taiwan’s maximum LNG inventory might be around 11 days, that figure doesn’t mean the island will run out of fuel in that timeframe. It’s a snapshot, not a countdown to disaster. He emphasizes that Taiwan diversifies its LNG sources, with supplies not just from Qatar but also from Australia, Russia, and the United States. The disinformation, he explains, deliberately misinterprets this data, creating a false impression that if Middle Eastern supplies are disrupted, Taiwan will be left high and dry. The Ministry of Economic Affairs has also outlined robust contingency plans: emergency procurement, expedited deliveries, tapping into non-Middle Eastern sources, and even mutual aid discussions with neighbors like Japan and South Korea. Beijing’s offer of “peaceful reunification” as a solution to Taiwan’s energy woes has been firmly rejected by Taiwanese officials, calling it “cognitive warfare.” While acknowledged as a “significant vulnerability” due to its relatively lower LNG capacity compared to other Asian nations, experts agree that Beijing’s offer is more of a political maneuver to undermine Taiwan’s self-reliance. This current wave of disinformation is undeniably part of that larger, insidious campaign.

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